Lorraine Series #3: Misty Morning Melee
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (4 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 938 | 1056 | 34% | 2024-07-07 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1080 | 46% | 2018-06-23 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1344 | 28% | 2002-04-28 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1063.3 vs 1142 has a 38.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).