A Hard Push
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-11-04 | Won |
| 1057 | 1023 | 55% | 2024-08-19 | Won |
| 1045 | 756 | 84% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1118 | 1056 | 59% | 2022-04-02 | Won |
| 1040 | 893 | 70% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 1113 | 970 | 69% | 2017-05-13 | Won |
| 1011 | 1232 | 22% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1344 | 983 | 89% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1344 | 983 | 89% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1182 | 1019 | 72% | 2012-11-13 | Won |
| 970 | 1040 | 40% | 2012-06-06 | Lost |
| 977 | 1110 | 32% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1019 | 67% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1107 | 983 | 67% | 2012-02-24 | Won |
| 1179 | 1232 | 42% | 2012-02-17 | Tied |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1107.2 vs 1024.2 has a 61.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).