To the Pain
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (21 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British (Gurkha)): 32
Defender wins (Japanese): 56
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1253 | 1000 | 81% | 2022-03-03 | Lost |
| 963 | 1023 | 41% | 2022-01-11 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1133 | 41% | 2019-04-25 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1037 | 58% | 2019-02-22 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1019 | 66% | 2018-08-14 | Lost |
| 1193 | 1073 | 67% | 2018-01-22 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1264 | 18% | 2016-07-29 | Lost |
| 1338 | 1264 | 60% | 2016-07-06 | Won |
| 1264 | 958 | 85% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1180 | 47% | 2015-12-05 | Lost |
| 1073 | 980 | 63% | 2015-08-30 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2015-02-23 | Won |
| 1145 | 1019 | 67% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 976 | 1117 | 31% | 2014-10-19 | Lost |
| 970 | 1120 | 30% | 2014-09-13 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1131 | 51% | 2014-08-30 | Lost |
| 980 | 1073 | 37% | 2014-08-14 | Lost |
| 933 | 938 | 49% | 2014-07-26 | Lost |
| 953 | 1344 | 10% | 2014-06-08 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1089.9 vs 1091.5 has a 49.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).