Baron's Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (14 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (American): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 930 | 58% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2022-03-23 | Lost |
| 938 | 1056 | 34% | 2021-12-22 | Won |
| 1022 | 1060 | 45% | 2021-06-14 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-05-30 | Won |
| 1207 | 1019 | 75% | 2020-06-08 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1013 | 48% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
| 979 | 938 | 56% | 2020-03-18 | Won |
| 941 | 1059 | 34% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 970 | 1122 | 29% | 2019-05-26 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1056 | 76% | 2019-03-16 | Lost |
| 1047 | 964 | 62% | 2019-02-19 | Won |
| 1155 | 1019 | 69% | 2018-11-25 | Won |
| 994 | 1006 | 48% | 2018-11-03 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1047.3 vs 1027.9 has a 52.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).