Bailey's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (3 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 26
Defender wins (Japanese): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 938 | 1056 | 34% | 2025-05-25 | Won |
| 966 | 1063 | 36% | 2023-08-31 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 975.7 vs 1047.3 has a 39.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).