Villy Muss Fallen! East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (7 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (French): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 1213 | 51% | 2024-11-03 | Won |
| 1207 | 1019 | 75% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1193 | 1114 | 61% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1131 | 34% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1019 | 771 | 81% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 893 | 914 | 47% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1078.4 vs 1020.7 has a 58.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).