Roucaud’s Blow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (5 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 7
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 938 | 1221 | 16% | 2026-04-04 | Lost |
| 869 | 982 | 34% | 2025-12-18 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1073 | 46% | 2024-02-26 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1193 | 39% | 2022-11-09 | Lost |
| 771 | 1019 | 19% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 947.2 vs 1097.6 has a 29.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).