Independence Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (7 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Czechoslovakian): 8
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 1019 | 46% | 2026-03-28 | Lost |
| 985 | 971 | 52% | 2026-03-01 | Won |
| 887 | 1166 | 17% | 2026-02-28 | Lost |
| 893 | 1043 | 30% | 2026-01-14 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1197 | 53% | 2025-12-16 | Won |
| 1207 | 1197 | 51% | 2025-12-16 | Won |
| 1036 | 1022 | 52% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1030.3 vs 1087.9 has a 41.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).